Humala's Win in Peru Consolidates Gains for Left, More Independent and Democratic South America, CEPR Co-Director Says
Center for Economic and Policy Research, June 5, 2011
Washington, D.C. - Ollanta Humala's apparent
presidential electoral victory in Peru represents a
consolidation of the gains made by left-leaning leaders
in South America over the past decade, Center for
Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) Co-Director Mark
Weisbrot said today.
"Democracy, national and regional independence, and
economic and social progress have gone hand-in-hand with
South America's leftward political shift over the past
decade," said Weisbrot. "This election continues these
trends, for sure."
As of late Sunday night, quick counts from two firms,
Ipsos- Apoyo and Datum Internacional, had Humala ahead
with over 51 percent of the vote, compared to less than
49 percent for his opponent, Keiko Fujimori, the
daughter of Peru's former authoritarian president
Alberto Fujimori. Exit polls showed Humala ahead by over
News of Humala's victory was welcomed by well-known
politicians from across the political spectrum. Author
and politician Mario Vargas Llosa, a well-known
conservative, said that Humala's win "saved democracy,"
while former president Alejandro Toledo said, "It's the
hour of reconciliation. The people have won, democracy
has won, the memory of the people won. The people have
opted for economic growth with social inclusion."
Although official Washington - outside of spokespersons
for the far right - did not express a preference, it
appears that the Obama administration favored Fujimori.
"This election result also represents another setback
for the U.S. government's strategy of `containment and
roll- back' in the region," said Weisbrot.
Weisbrot also noted that Peru's traditional elite lost
this election because the previous two governments had
failed to take the kinds of initiatives that other left
governments in the region had done, despite record
"Peru's growth did reduce poverty significantly," said
Weisbrot. "But the government didn't deliver the kinds
of gains that were seen in other countries in health
care, education, minimum wages, public pensions, or
social spending, as happened in Ecuador, Bolivia,
Brazil, and Venezuela."
* Source: CEPR-Newsletter, Center for Economic and Policy Research, June 5, 2011; http://www.cepr.net
El triunfo de Humala y el desarrollo del proceso electoral peruano **
SEGUN LOS PRIMEROS SONDEOS EL NACIONALISTA OLLANTA HUMALA HABRIA GANADO LA PRESIDENCIA DEL PERU CON CIERTA VENTAJA SOBRE LA CONSERVADORA KEIKO FUJIMORI.
MIENTRAS SE PREPARA UN ANALISIS SOBRE ESAS ELECCIONES ENVIAMOS ESTE ESPECIAL REPRODUCIENDO CRONOLOGICAMENTE LAS COLUMNAS DE ISAAC BIGIO DONDE FUE EXAMINANDO DESDE LONDRES LO QUE PODRIA PASAR EN SU PATRIA DE ORIGEN.
ALLI SE VE LA TESIS DE QUE ANTES DE LA PRIMERA VUELTA SI ES QUE LOS 'MODERADOS' NO LOGRASEN UNIRSE DARIAN PASO A UNA POLARIZACION ENTRE LA DERECHA 'DURA' Y LA CENTRO-IZQUIERDA.
LUEGO DE QUE SE DIERON ESOS RESULTADOS SE PLANTEO LA DIFICULTAD QUE TENDRIA KEIKO FUJIMORI DE GANAR EL BALOTAJE TENIENDO EN CUENTA DE UNA DIFERENCIA DE CASI 8 PUNTOS, DE LAS RESISTENCIA QUE ELLA PODRIA PRODUCIR EN ALGUNOS SECTORES LIBERALES Y DE QUE NUNCA ANTES EN LA HISTORIA EL GANADOR DE DOS PRIMERAS VUELTAS CONSECUTIVAS PUEDA PERDER LA VUELTA FINAL POR SEGUNDA VEZ.
ALLI SE VE COMO SE PRONOSTICA EL EVENTUAL GIRO HACIA EL 'CENTRO' DE AMBOS CANDIDATOS Y DE QUE EL NIVEL DE CONCESIONES HECHO POR HUMALA AL CENTRO Y LA DERECHA 'MODERADA' PODRIAN ABRIRLE LA VIA PARA EVITAR VETOS Y ACERCARSE A GANAR A SECTORES INTERMEDIOS.
HUMALA GANA LAS ELECCIONES CON 'TRAJE PRESTADO' BASANDOSE EN UN PROGRAMA DONDE SE COMPROMETE A MANTENER LA CONSTITUCION DE 1993, EL MODELO ECONOMICO Y EL TLC.
** Analysis Global, Newsletter, 06.06.2011
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